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Identyfikacja determinantów polityki Węgier względem wojny rosyjsko-ukraińskiej
ORCID: Jakub Bornio: 0000-0001-7906-7475
Afiliacja: University of Wrocław, Poland
ORCID: Benjámin Lux: 0009-0001-5352-7610
Afiliacja: Eötvös Loránd University
Edition: Lublin 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.36874/RIESW.2025.2.3
Citation method: J. Bornio, B. Lux, Identifying the rationalities behind Hungary’s policy on the Russo-Ukrainian war, „Rocznik Instytutu Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej” 23 (2025), z. 2, s. 61–97,
DOI: https://doi.org/10.36874/RIESW.2025.2.3
Keywords:polityka zagraniczna, Rosja
Keywords: European Union, foreign policy, Hungary, NATO, Russia, Russia–Ukraine war, security policy, Ukraine
Abstract:
The research objective of this article was to uncover the rationalities of Hungary’s policy towards the full-scale phase of the Russo-Ukrainian war, as well as related issues, while deliberately avoiding the common pitfalls in this field of oversimplification, politicisation, and analyses framed from a single-cause perspective. The analysis was conducted on the basis of rational choice theory, as adapted for the purposes of Foreign Policy Analysis, employing holistic causal reasoning without reference to any particular theory of international relations. It also drew upon insights derived from numerous expert seminars addressing the research problem, unstructured expert interviews, a critical review of the literature, and the analysis of primary sources. As a result of the research, several key domains influencing the formation of Hungarian foreign policy regarding the Russo-Ukrainian war were identified, namely: geopolitical and geographical preconditioning, historical experience, anticipation of shifts in the international order, policy towards the Hungarian minority in neighbouring states, energy policy, and domestic factors. These domains, however, are not isolated from one another; they frequently intersect and mutually condition one another, encompassing both objective and subjective components.
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