Counterbalancing, accommodation, and hedging: NATO Eastern flank countries’ political strategies towards Russia

Przeciwwaga, akomodacja i zabezpieczanie: polityczne strategie krajów wschodniej flanki NATO wobec Rosji

Tomasz Klin

ORCID: Tomasz Klin: 0000-0002-8630-4659

Afiliacja: Uniwersytet Wrocławski

Strony: 37-53

Wydanie: Lublin 2024

DOI: https://doi.org/10.36874/RIESW.2024.2.2

Sposób cytowania: T. Klin, Counterbalancing, accommodation, and hedging: NATO Eastern flank countries’ political strategies towards Russia, „Rocznik Instytutu Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej” 22 (2024), z. 2, s. 37-53, DOI: https://doi.org/10.36874/RIESW.2024.2.2

Słowa kluczowe: , , , ,

Keywords: , , , , ,


Abstrakt: Celem artykułu jest zdiagnozowanie zróżnicowania politycznych strategii krajów wschodniej flanki NATO wobec Rosji. Autor wyróżnia trzy główne podejścia: przeciwwagę, która może przyjąć formę powstrzymywania, akomodację oraz zabezpieczanie. Analizując oficjalne strategie bezpieczeństwa i działania rządowe, artykuł ukazuje różnice pomiędzy każdym z tych podejść i rozważa ich ostateczne konsekwencje. Struktura pracy jest następująca: po pierwsze, wyjaśnienie istoty każdej strategii politycznej oraz rozważenie ich konsekwencji jako kategorii w polityce międzynarodowej. Po drugie, artykuł ilustruje każde podejście poprzez konkretne przykłady: przeciwwaga w Polsce, akomodacja na Węgrzech oraz zabezpieczanie w Bułgarii. Artykuł kończy się analizą krajowych i zagranicznych uwarunkowań tych strategii, ich kosztów oraz skuteczności.

Bibliografia:

1. Cheresheva M., Putin’s Homage to Cyrillic Makes Bulgarians See Red, Balkan Insight, 25 May 2017, https://balkaninsight.com/2017/05/25/kremlin-s-stance-on–cyrillic-origin-angers-sofia-05-25-2017/ [8.12.2023].
2. Chughtai A., Petkova M., Skripal case diplomatic expulsions in numbers, Al Jazeera, 3 April 2018, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/4/3/skripal-case-diplomatic-expulsions-in-numbers [21.11.2013].
3. Cooper H., Oliver Ch., Bulgaria caught between NATO and the Kremlin, Politico, 12 September 2016, https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-bulgaria-presidential-election-rumen-radev-socialists-caught-between-nato-and-the-kremlin/ [8.12.2023].
4. De Silva Sh., Making Sense of the Haze: Hedging and its Attributes, “University of Colombo Review” 2020, vol. 1, no. 1.
5. Dettmer J., Former Spy: Hungary Used as Logistical Base for Russian Intelligence Activity, VOA News, 17 April 2019, https://www.voanews.com/a/former-spy–hungary-used-as-logistical-base-for-russian-intelligence-activity/4879742.html [13.11.2023].
6. Goble P.A., Friends in need: 18 countries who gave Ukraine non-lethal military aid, Euromaidan Press, 5 June 2016, https://euromaidanpress.com/2016/08/05/friends-in-need-18-country-who-supplied-ukraine-with-non-lethal-weapons/ [18.01.2024].
7. Government Resolution 1163/2020 (21st April) on Hungary’s National Security Strategy, Honvédelmi Hírek, 21 June 2020, https://honvedelem.hu/hirek/government–resolution-1163-2020-21st-april.html [11.12.2023].
8. Govt To Increase Defence Spending by 30 Percent Next Year, Hungary Today, 25 September 2021, https://hungarytoday.hu/govt-increase-defence-spending-30–percent-next-year/ [21.11.2023].
9. Hayden J., Ukraine blasts Bulgaria president’s claims that Kyiv is to blame for the war, Politico, 16 July 2023, https://www.politico.eu/article/rumen-radev-bulgaria-president-ukraine-war/ [6.12.2023].
10. He B., Politics of Accommodation of the Rise of China: The Case of Australia, “Journal of Contemporary China” 2012, vol. 21, no. 73.
11. He K., Institutional Balancing and International Relations Theory: Economic Interdependence and Balance of Power Strategies in Southeast Asia, “European Journal of International Relations” 2008, vol. 14, no. 3.
12. Jackson V., Power, trust, and network complexity: three logics of hedging in Asian security, “International Relations of the Asia-Pacific” 2014, vol. 14, no. 3.
13. Janjevic D., Vladimir Putin and Viktor Orban’s special relationship, Deutsche Welle, 18 September 2018, https://www.dw.com/en/vladimir-putin-and-viktor–orbans-special-relationship/a-45512712 [28.06.2022].
14. Kirchner J., The tragedy of offensive realism: Classical realism and the rise of China, “European Journal of International Relations” 2012, vol. 18, no. 1.
15. Kuik Cheng-Chwee, Getting hedging right: a small-state perspective, “China International Strategy Review” 2021, vol. 3, no. 2.
16. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Hungary, Hungary’s National Security Strategy, 2012, https://eda.europa.eu/docs/default-source/documents/hungary-national–security-strategy-2012.pdf.
17. National Security Strategy of the Republic of Bulgaria, 2011, https://www.bbn.gov.pl/ftp/dok/07/BGR_National_Security_Strategy_Republic_Bulgaria_2011.pdf.
18. Nikolov K., Bulgarian government row over military aid to Ukraine, Euractiv, 28 February 2022, https://www.euractiv.com/section/politics/short_news/bulgarian–government-row-over-military-aid-to-ukraine/ [18.08.2022].
19. Orbán V., Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s Speech at the 25th Bálványos Summer Free University and Student Camp, Website of the Hungarian Government, 30 July 2014, https://2015-2019.kormany.hu/en/the-prime-minister/the-prime-minister–s-speeches/prime-minister-viktor-orban-s-speech-at-the-25th-balvanyos-summer-free-university-and-student-camp [13.11.2023].
20. Pawłuszko T., The Foreign Policy of Poland and the Problem of Political Rationale, “Teoria Polityki” 2022, no. 6.
21. Pieńkowski J., Bulgarian-Russian Relations: Between Sentiment and Pragmatism, “Bulletin PISM” 2019, no. 177.
22. Poland is the third largest donor of military aid to Ukraine states BBC report, Polskie Radio, 3 July 2022, https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/9766/artykul/2992902,poland–third-largest-donor-of-military-aid-to-ukraine [23.12.2023].
23. Polish leader criticises Hungary’s stance on Ukraine war, Polskie Radio, 8 April 2022, https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/9766/artykul/2935898,polish-leader-criticises-hungary%E2%80%99s-stance-on-ukraine-war [22.12.2023].
24. President Rumen Radev: Bulgaria will continue to help Ukraine according to our ability, Radio Bulgaria, 21 April 2022, https://bnr.bg/en/post/101636020/president-rumen-radev-bulgaria-will-continue-to-help-ukraine-according-to-our-ability [9.12.2023].
25. Ross R.S., Balance of Power Politics and the Rise of China: Accommodation and Balancing in East Asia, “Security Studies” 2006, vol. 15, no. 3.
26. Russia ‘Used Bulgarian Airspace’ To Deliver Military Equipment To Serbia, Radio Free Europe, 17 December 2020, https://www.rferl.org/a/russian-planes-bulgarian-airspace-military-equipment-serbia/31006388.html [23.12.2023].
27. Seventy expelled Russian diplomats leave Bulgaria, Euractiv, 4 July 2022, https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/seventy-expelled-russian-diplomats-leave-bulgaria/ [18.01.2024].
28. Strategia Bezpieczeństwa Narodowego Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej, Warsaw 2014, https://www.bbn.gov.pl/ftp/SBN%20RP.pdf.
29. Strategia Bezpieczeństwa Narodowego Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej, Warsaw 2020, https://www.bbn.gov.pl/ftp/dokumenty/Strategia_Bezpieczenstwa_Narodowego_RP_2020.pdf.
30. Than K., Komuves A., Hungary buys Russia’s Sputnik V vaccine, first in EU, minister says, Reuters, 22 January 2021, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-hungary-russia-idUSKBN29R0WB/ [21.11.2023].
31. Todorov S., Ukraine Queries Bulgarian President’s ‘Crimea is Russian’ Remark, Balkan Insight, 19 November 2021, https://balkaninsight.com/2021/11/19/ukraine-queries-bulgarian-presidents-crimea-is-russian-remark/ [8.12.2023].
32. Todorov S., ‘We Have Done Enough’: Bulgaria Rejects Ukraine’s Plea for Heavy Weapons, Balkan Insight, 7 June 2022, https://balkaninsight.com/2022/06/07/we-have-done-enough-bulgaria-rejects-ukraines-plea-for-heavy-weapons/ [22.12.2023].
33. Volkmann-Schluck Ph., Bulgaria to the rescue: How the EU’s poorest country secretly saved Ukraine, Politico, 18 January 2023, https://www.politico.eu/article/bulgaria-volodymyr-zelenskyy-kiril-petkov-poorest-country-eu-ukraine/ [8.12.2023].
34. Zaniewicz M., New Gas Pipeline Geopolitics in Central and Eastern Europe, Warsaw Institute, 21 December 2019, https://warsawinstitute.org/new-gas-pipeline-geopolitics-in-central-and-eastern-europe/ [18.11.2023].

Słowa kluczowe: , , , ,